There’s No Altseason Without These 3 Key Indicators, Analyst Says

By: bitcoinist|2025/05/04 12:00:03
0
Share
copy
CEO and Co-founder of crypto education media firm Coinbureau, Nic Puckrin has shared a “realistic” take on the altseason. The former TradFi entrepreneur and prominent digital asset advocate has highlighted three necessary conditions to usher in an altseason. Altseason Still On Ice: What Needs To Change The altseason defines a period in the crypto bull market where altcoins significantly outperform Bitcoin. It is an entirely anticipated event, presenting investors with the opportunity to register massive profits due to the smaller market caps of altcoins compared to Bitcoin. However, the potential of altseason in the current bull cycle has been previously questioned, with analysts citing the rising number of altcoins compared to previous cycles. In contributing to this discourse, Puckrin states that an altseason usually occurs 320 days after the Bitcoin halving, a target that has been met following the last halving in April 2024. However, Pukrin explains an altseason for this current bull cycle can only occur following the development of three crucial signals. Firstly, the analyst states that Bitcoin dominance must fall below 54%. The Bitcoin dominance measures BTC’s share of the total crypto market. It represents the percentage of crypto investment that is in Bitcoin. Notably, an altseason only occurs after Bitcoin Dominance begins to fall, indicating that investors are rotating their capital into altcoins. Nic Puckrin explains that Bitcoin Dominance must stop rising and fall below the 54% threshold to confirm this rotation. However, despite the need for this fall in BTC Dominance, the Coin Bureau boss further states that Bitcoin must break above its current all-time high to induce an altcoin bull market. However, the premier cryptocurrency must achieve this feat without pulling all the liquidity from the market. It is worth noting that in prior cycles, an altcoin market rally comes after Bitcoin establishes market dominance, then consolidates, giving room for investors to move their liquidity to lower-cap speculative assets. Nic Puckrin’s final condition states the US Federal Reserve must cease all Quantitative Tightening (QT) measures and confirm incoming rate cuts to counter the current interest rates above 4%. In doing so, the Fed can induce in rise in market liquidity, which is necessary for altseason. Crypto Market Overview At the time of writing, the total crypto market has now reclaimed the $3 trillion mark following the general bullish swing in the past week. Meanwhile, market trading volume is down by 16.82% and valued at $68.83 billion. Notably, the altcoin season index is still at 21, indicating that Bitcoin still outperforms a large percentage of the altcoin market, and there is no altseason in view for now. Historically, altseasons occur when the index is above 75, which indicates broad-based strength across altcoins.

You may also like

Futures Trading Hours: Trade Cryptocurrency 24/7 and Earn Back Up to 45% in Trading Fees

Learn futures trading hours and the best time to trade crypto futures. Discover 24/7 market insights, peak trading sessions, and how to earn back up to 45% in fees.

Why is a16z Crypto raising another $2.2 billion to heavily invest in Web3?

This round of funding bets on the transition of cryptocurrency from the infrastructure development phase to the phase of real user adoption. Whether focusing on cryptocurrency or crossing over to AI, this real money will only flow to those places that can turn technology into products.

Polymarket Underlying Algorithm Explained

It may be the only article on Twitter that clearly explains all the underlying design of Polymarket in plain language.

What do projects born in the crypto bear market do?

From January to April, RootData has recorded over 1,070 new projects, a decrease of about 32% compared to the same period last year.

a16z founder's Stanford lecture: Whenever Wall Street and Silicon Valley have different ideas, it's Wall Street that ends up being wrong

Ben Horowitz, co-founder of a16z, delivered a powerful talk: The two traditional moats of software in the AI era have been erased, and entrepreneurs must seek "new barriers" beyond code and UI.

Michael Saylor: After three consecutive quarters of losses, Strategy will sell Bitcoin to pay dividends

After MSTR's financial report showed continued net losses, Saylor changed his stance: Bitcoin is no longer "never to be sold" and can be used as a payment tool.

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more
iconiconiconiconiconiconicon
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com