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"Federal Reserve's Mouthpiece": Rising energy prices exacerbate the Federal Reserve's transition dilemma, and Waller finds himself in a quandary
According to a report by Jinshi Data, "Fed mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos stated that the surge in energy prices has made the already tricky power transition at the Federal Reserve even more difficult.
This process was already quite complex. Kevin Walsh's appointment has been stalled due to a Department of Justice investigation and obstruction from Tillis. Additionally, unlike previous Federal Reserve chairs since Volcker, Walsh has committed to a complete break from his predecessor's policies rather than continuing them.
Currently, the market expects a 50-50 chance of interest rate hikes and cuts this year, which could put Walsh in a dilemma: on one hand, there is the president who nominated him, and on the other, the committee he is about to lead.
In 2008, after a period of aggressive rate cuts, oil prices suddenly surged. At that time, Walsh strongly pointed out that the inflation risk "is the main risk" and suggested that the Fed's next move should be to raise interest rates. However, Trump's expectations were exactly the opposite.
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