Bitcoin’s recovery on track! THIS signals BTC’s potential for $100K breakout
By: ambcrypto|2025/05/04 10:15:01
0
Share
Bitcoin tested $96.5K, a key resistance level that may trigger further upside if broken. Open Interest surged, reflecting renewed market participation without signs of excessive leverage buildup. Bitcoin’s [BTC] recent momentum has been accompanied by a notable surge with rising Open Interest, reflecting renewed market participation. This increase mirrors historical bullish setups where rising open interest preceded strong price action. Importantly, Funding Rates remained balanced, while Binance data showed shorts in control, indicating a healthy, two-sided market. At press time, BTC traded at $96,398.33, down 0.36% over the last 24 hours. Is supply-side pressure easing across exchanges? Bitcoin’s Exchange Reserve declined to $238.31 billion, reflecting a 0.67% drop. This decrease suggests that investors are increasingly moving BTC off exchanges, typically a bullish signal tied to reduced sell-side pressure. Moreover, netflow stood at -4.33K BTC, reflecting a +2.45% shift toward outflows. Therefore, this shift in reserve and netflow structure highlights growing accumulation behavior. The current supply dynamics signal that fewer coins are available for immediate sale, providing a favorable backdrop for price stability and potential upside. Source: CryptoQuant Are Bitcoin users returning to the network in large numbers? Network engagement is on the rise, with Daily Active Bitcoin Addresses spiking to 924.55K, among the highest levels this year. This uptick reflects increased blockchain activity and broader interest in Bitcoin transactions. Therefore, the heightened address count signals strong organic network usage rather than purely speculative volume. Historically, higher Active Address counts have accompanied sustained bullish phases, lending further support to the current recovery narrative. If this trend continues, it could reinforce BTC’s momentum and validate the on-chain strength behind its rebound. Source: Santiment Is profitability returning without signaling overvaluation? Profitability is back, but not at worrying levels. The MVRV Z-score climbed to 2.42, marking a significant recovery from its March lows. While this level suggests that holders are becoming more profitable, it remains below the danger zone historically associated with major tops. Therefore, Bitcoin appears to be in a phase where profit-taking pressure is minimal, but bullish conviction is building. This metric indicates a balanced market state, where prices can rise without triggering aggressive selling from overextended holders. Source: Santiment Will Bitcoin break above the $96.5K barrier? BTC is currently testing resistance near $96.5K, aligned with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement zone. Price structure suggests bullish momentum is intact, with a clear uptrend from the March lows. The RSI read 68.30—near overbought, but not yet overheated. If BTC flips the $96.5K–$97K range into support, a breakout toward previous highs may follow. However, failure to sustain above this level might result in short-term consolidation before the next major move. Source: CoinGlass Given the healthy rise in Open Interest, easing Exchange Reserves, and growing network activity, Bitcoin’s current rally appears fundamentally supported. The MVRV ratio confirms that the market is not yet overvalued, while technical indicators point to a potential breakout. Therefore, Bitcoin looks well-positioned to sustain its momentum if it successfully breaches the $97K resistance zone in the coming days. Share Share Tweet
You may also like

Polymarket Underlying Algorithm Explained
It may be the only article on Twitter that clearly explains all the underlying design of Polymarket in plain language.

What do projects born in the crypto bear market do?
From January to April, RootData has recorded over 1,070 new projects, a decrease of about 32% compared to the same period last year.

a16z founder's Stanford lecture: Whenever Wall Street and Silicon Valley have different ideas, it's Wall Street that ends up being wrong
Ben Horowitz, co-founder of a16z, delivered a powerful talk: The two traditional moats of software in the AI era have been erased, and entrepreneurs must seek "new barriers" beyond code and UI.

Michael Saylor: After three consecutive quarters of losses, Strategy will sell Bitcoin to pay dividends
After MSTR's financial report showed continued net losses, Saylor changed his stance: Bitcoin is no longer "never to be sold" and can be used as a payment tool.

The toll station at Hormuz and the RMB that cannot be bought
The disorder of the US dollar is giving rise to a new situation in global settlement: gold is being redefined as a "bridge," the CIPS system is expanding rapidly, and global funds are quietly opening up a new channel for the renminbi, which is "hard to obtain."

Interview with Coinbase Institutional's Strategic Head: The Institutionalization of Crypto Reaches a Critical Point
Coinbase executives provide an in-depth analysis: Unfazed by short-term market panic, institutions are accelerating their entry, and tokenization along with the "exchange of everything" is about to completely reconstruct the global financial infrastructure.

Dialogue with Agora CEO Nick: The battle for stablecoin licenses has just begun
Agora strikes: officially applies for a federal trust bank license in the United States, elevating from a stablecoin issuer to "underlying financial infrastructure," targeting the trillion-dollar enterprise payment and B2B settlement market.

Morning Report | a16z Crypto completes $2.2 billion fundraising for its fifth fund; Bullish invests $4.2 billion to acquire share transfer agency Equiniti; PayPal's Q1 performance exceeds expectations
Overview of Important Market Events on May 5th

a16z Crypto: What We See Behind the $2.2 Billion New Fund
After the noise subsides, what remains is often more useful than it appeared at its peak and more enduring than it seemed at its lowest point.

Web3 is dead, Web2+3 should rise
We are not aiming to hold a self-indulgent party for Web3 practitioners, but rather to build a bridge for rational connection between Web2 and Web3.

Stablecoins and Latin American Remittances: The Misunderstood $174 Billion Market
In the Latin American remittance market, the real protagonists have never been the young people speculating on cryptocurrencies, but rather the 50-year-old workers who send money to their mothers every month. They don't care about blockchain; they only care about whether the money has arrived.

The arrival of the Web 3.0 era: A review of Hong Kong court rulings on digital assets
Hong Kong judiciary landmark: The court officially recognizes cryptocurrency as legal property and introduces the "tokenized injunction" to track and freeze involved funds, comprehensively upgrading the protection of digital asset investors.

Track Markets At a Glance: New WEEX Price Widgets for iOS & Android
To streamline your market data access, WEEX has officially launched "Market Watchlist" desktop widgets

The billion-dollar lesson: The focus of DeFi security is shifting from code to operational governance
Warning of nearly $1 billion loss in DeFi: Security pain points have shifted from code vulnerabilities to permissions and operations. Introducing TradFi bank-level risk control and AI defenses is the way to balance openness and security.

A Brief Analysis of Stablecoin Licenses and On-Chain Funding
Hong Kong accelerates the layout of digital finance, providing a panoramic analysis of the evolution of three major on-chain financial forms: central bank digital currency, deposit tokens, and stablecoins, along with future opportunities.

BVNK Founder: Three Stages of Stablecoin Development
Once payments become faster, cheaper, and globally interconnected, stablecoins will not just open up a new market, but a new realm with boundaries that are not yet visible today.

The truth about Trump's son's Bitcoin game: he made a staggering $100 million while retail investors lost $500 million
The Trump family has a family skill: to exaggerate and make something sound bigger than it actually is.

What Is Futures Trading? Hours, Platforms, and How to Start Trade Futures(2026 Guide)
Learn how to start futures trading, understand trading hours, and choose the best futures trading platform. Includes real data, strategies, and ways to maximize returns with rebates.
Polymarket Underlying Algorithm Explained
It may be the only article on Twitter that clearly explains all the underlying design of Polymarket in plain language.
What do projects born in the crypto bear market do?
From January to April, RootData has recorded over 1,070 new projects, a decrease of about 32% compared to the same period last year.
a16z founder's Stanford lecture: Whenever Wall Street and Silicon Valley have different ideas, it's Wall Street that ends up being wrong
Ben Horowitz, co-founder of a16z, delivered a powerful talk: The two traditional moats of software in the AI era have been erased, and entrepreneurs must seek "new barriers" beyond code and UI.
Michael Saylor: After three consecutive quarters of losses, Strategy will sell Bitcoin to pay dividends
After MSTR's financial report showed continued net losses, Saylor changed his stance: Bitcoin is no longer "never to be sold" and can be used as a payment tool.
The toll station at Hormuz and the RMB that cannot be bought
The disorder of the US dollar is giving rise to a new situation in global settlement: gold is being redefined as a "bridge," the CIPS system is expanding rapidly, and global funds are quietly opening up a new channel for the renminbi, which is "hard to obtain."
Interview with Coinbase Institutional's Strategic Head: The Institutionalization of Crypto Reaches a Critical Point
Coinbase executives provide an in-depth analysis: Unfazed by short-term market panic, institutions are accelerating their entry, and tokenization along with the "exchange of everything" is about to completely reconstruct the global financial infrastructure.
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com
